trying to grok

Uncertainty is constant, because no one can be omniscient. So what prevents us from falling into total agnosticism? Why blog about the war at all if you're not actually there? And even warbloggers who are *there* are not EVERYwhere. Perhaps they and their immediate comrades may not be guilty of "war crimes" but others beyond their sight are. Why not just shut up, shut down our blogs, and vote for Kerry?

Fortunately, probability helps to counterbalance our ignorance. No, we cannot know everything. We cannot be certain. But we can determine what is and what isn't likely based on the limited clues we gather.

The trouble is that we do tend to pick and choose what clues we want to see and moreover, our probability meters are based on our own experiences. So when we think we see the outside world, we are often gazing into mirrors of our own creation.

Which mirrors reflect reality? Which ones are self-reflecting? I don't know, but at least we have a greater choice of mirrors online than we did in the old days when "news" referred to a handful of outlets. The Grey Lady is no longer the queen:

http://jameshudnall.com/archives/001944.html

What in the hell did that have to do with cookies?

Ha. Erin later emailed with red cheeks and said that she hadn't noticed that there was a link until after she commented. Ha.

Hmmm...I always thought I was omnicient.

The posting by Wretchard is a pretty good analysis on the issue. My view is that a bunch of jihadis had a wedding party!

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